GreySwansRecon · Polymarket wallet 0x5547…3d0c

Wallet snapshot

GreySwansRecon has made 929 trades on Polymarket across 150 markets, $134K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (85%) and geopolitics (8%). On 141 resolved markets the win rate is 83.7%, lifetime P&L -$7,899. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $5,192 · 20¢ → 13¢
• Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes · $63 · 39¢ → 57¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $6 · 19¢ → 2¢
• Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes · $2 · 11¢ → 4¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes · $1 · 46¢ → 8¢
• Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 6¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes · $0 · 42¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes · -$2,733 · Oct 25, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$296 · Sep 21, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$75 · May 12, 2026
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes · -$7 · May 8, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$9 · May 6, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · -$14 · May 6, 2026

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