Subparconductor · Polymarket wallet 0x5514…10df

+$2,276 lifetime P&L · 83.3% win rate · 66 resolved markets · 0x5514ef77bc1d2f7b51ca6248c466a6ba4e7c10df

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Wallet snapshot

Subparconductor has made 289 trades on Polymarket across 68 markets, $73K in volume. Most of it is in politics (38%) and geopolitics (21%). On 66 resolved markets the win rate is 83.3%, lifetime P&L +$2,276. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $945 · 82¢ → 95¢
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $49 · 3¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes · +$936 · Sep 21, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No · -$689 · Aug 3, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$117 · Jul 29, 2026
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes · +$49 · Jul 19, 2026
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$216 · Jun 26, 2026
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$87 · Jun 25, 2026
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$822 · Jun 21, 2026
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes · +$103 · Jun 20, 2026
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes · +$50 · Jan 25, 2026
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No · +$200 · Jan 2, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.