poliy · Polymarket wallet 0x50d3…b5aa

Wallet snapshot

poliy has made 56 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $2,349 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (50%) and politics (22%). On 31 resolved markets the win rate is 83.9%, lifetime P&L -$33. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $8 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No · $8 · 88¢ → 80¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $2 · 96¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 24, 2026
• Fed abolished before 2027?No · +$0 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jun 12, 2026
• Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No · +$0 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No · +$0 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will Variational launch a token in 2025?No · +$0 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No · +$1 · Jan 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No · +$2 · Jan 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.