mbauma30 · Polymarket wallet 0x4f62…8185

Wallet snapshot

mbauma30 has made 951 trades on Polymarket across 63 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (37%). On 57 resolved markets the win rate is 63.2%, lifetime P&L -$6. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jul 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $18 · 39¢ → 48¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $11 · 27¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes · -$10 · Sep 20, 2026
• Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceNo · -$4 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes · -$10 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes · -$2 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?No · -$5 · Sep 20, 2026
• Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes · -$10 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes · -$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes · -$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes · +$4 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes · +$22 · Jul 1, 2026

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