Polymarket wallet 0x4def…9bd5

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4def…9bd5 has made 86 trades on Polymarket across 43 markets, $88 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (10%) and politics (7%). On 37 resolved markets the win rate is 56.8%, lifetime P&L -$0. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · $3 · 21¢ → 59¢
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14?No · $3 · 39¢ → 99¢
• Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?No · $1 · 50¢ → 74¢
• Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $1 · 49¢ → 36¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?No · $1 · 46¢ → 24¢
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?No · $0 · 66¢ → 19¢

Latest closed positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 28 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.