aole · Polymarket wallet 0x4d24…a7d6

Wallet snapshot

aole has made 255 trades on Polymarket across 73 markets, $64K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (69%) and geopolitics (10%). On 71 resolved markets the win rate is 87.3%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Aug 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $26 · 84¢ → 95¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $21 · 86¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · -$10 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$17 · Aug 24, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$7 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes · -$7 · Jun 16, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes · +$9 · Jun 12, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No · +$7 · Jun 2, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No · +$1 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$8 · May 21, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No · +$18 · May 21, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$5 · Apr 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.