orkney · Polymarket wallet 0x4c94…e088

Wallet snapshot

orkney has made 60 trades on Polymarket across 18 markets, $1,424 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and politics (28%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 62.5%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Jan 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $30 · 83¢ → 85¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $5 · 17¢ → 15¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No · -$12 · Jan 25, 2026
• Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No · -$2 · Jan 25, 2026
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$0 · Jan 18, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · -$0 · Jan 18, 2026
• Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes · +$1 · Jan 18, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · -$0 · Jan 15, 2026
• Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes · -$0 · Jan 14, 2026
• Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · +$1 · Jan 14, 2026
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?Yes · +$10 · Jan 13, 2026
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Yes · +$4 · Jan 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.