Polymarket wallet 0x4c8c…b0bc

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4c8c…b0bc has made 291 trades on Polymarket across 147 markets, $313 in volume. Most of it is in sports (69%) and economics (6%). On 142 resolved markets the win rate is 57.7%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · $1 · 74¢ → 93¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No · $1 · 27¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes · -$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?No · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.