christmas-punch · Polymarket wallet 0x48df…52a6

Wallet snapshot

christmas-punch has made 1,822 trades on Polymarket across 916 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in sports (74%) and politics (7%). On 834 resolved markets the win rate is 50.2%, lifetime P&L +$1. It holds 40 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?". Last trade: Oct 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Yes · $28 · 14¢ → 79¢
• Spread: Columbia (-14.5)Yes · $13 · 42¢ → 55¢
• Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)No · $9 · 65¢ → 62¢
• Will Trump say "Epstein" in November?Yes · $7 · 24¢ → 36¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $7 · 72¢ → 100¢
• Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes · $7 · 4¢ → 6¢
• Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes · $6 · 17¢ → 26¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?No · $6 · 82¢ → 99¢
• Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes · $6 · 65¢ → 75¢
• Will the season series between the Dolphins and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes · $6 · 52¢ → 57¢

Latest closed positions

• Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerNo · -$1 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No · +$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 WinnerYes · +$7 · Oct 30, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 WinnerNo · -$0 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?Yes · +$17 · Oct 30, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 WinnerYes · +$2 · Oct 30, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 WinnerNo · -$2 · Oct 30, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.