YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$18.7K
460 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 115 traders
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7 MARKETS · $24.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below←
79¢−34¢$18.7K10/12Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below←−34¢79¢
$18.7K10/12
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1
12¢−12¢$2.1K0/9Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1−12¢12¢
$2.1K0/9
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3
8¢+2¢$2.2K1/9Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.2 – 8.3+2¢8¢
$2.2K1/9
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5
0¢+17¢$3741/5Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.4 – 8.5+17¢0¢
$3741/5
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7
4¢+10¢$5291/6Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.6 – 8.7+10¢4¢
$5291/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs12 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$47+2 new NO$13
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $889 is directional: YES $754·NO $135YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$353(+30.7%)
Whales
10
O
Opulent-Communicant🥇
Entry 74¢·486 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $361 · WR 73.1%
K
KiruaTrading🥈
Entry 67¢·401.6 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $270 · WR 61.5%
T
TheOne777◆Proven🥉
Entry 68¢·394 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $267 · WR 75.7%
P
poljdnn17hedged
Entry 24¢·448.9 shares·also $207 on NO
Invested
$107
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $107 · WR 86.8%
G
gotonetry33
Entry 75¢·100 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $75 · WR 80.4%
D
Dow-Jones
Entry 76¢·50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 · WR 59.4%
H
hunternicole
Entry 78¢·22.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 68.0%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 14¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $7 · WR 66.4%
O
ogi250
Entry 77¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.6%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$532
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$201(-37.8%)
Whales
12
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 65¢·318.9 shares·also $107 on YES
Invested
$207
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $207 · WR 86.8%
M
makanmakan🥈
Entry 27¢·245 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $67 · WR 69.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉
Entry 22¢·285 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $63 · WR 55.3%
C
commanderkim
Entry 29¢·150 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $43 · WR 66.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $43 · WR 89.0%
C
Clean-Chick-Cupcake
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $27 · WR 82.7%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 26¢·97 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 69.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 22¢·80 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 19¢·70 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 79.6%
B
Brisk-Rod-Patentee
Entry 50¢·26.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 81.7%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
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