guanji · Polymarket wallet 0x47f8…0b4a

Wallet snapshot

guanji has made 98 trades on Polymarket across 36 markets, $884 in volume. Most of it is in sports (58%) and politics (11%). On 33 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $5 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $5 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $5 · 91¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes · +$0 · Aug 25, 2026
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes · +$0 · Jul 6, 2026
• Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No · +$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$1 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes · +$4 · Jun 27, 2026
• Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes · +$1 · Jun 26, 2026
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · +$1 · Jun 24, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.