Polymarket wallet 0x477d…4f06

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x477d…4f06 has made 1,381 trades on Polymarket across 227 markets, $4,040 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (45%) and politics (28%). On 203 resolved markets the win rate is 64.5%, lifetime P&L +$313. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?". Last trade: Sep 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes · $7 · 82¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?No · $2 · 93¢ → 90¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?No · $2 · 70¢ → 61¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes · $2 · 84¢ → 64¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?No · $1 · 93¢ → 100¢
• Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Yes · $1 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?No · $1 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?No · $1 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat?No · $1 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?Yes · $1 · 93¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$5 · Sep 4, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No · -$1 · Sep 3, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.