Polymarket wallet 0x473f…06db

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x473f…06db has made 198 trades on Polymarket across 92 markets, $36K in volume. Most of it is in sports (64%) and crypto (7%). On 85 resolved markets the win rate is 61.2%, lifetime P&L +$907. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $601 · 69¢ → 42¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $314 · 84¢ → 88¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $240 · 86¢ → 83¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $187 · 86¢ → 82¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $184 · 47¢ → 51¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $12 · 51¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor FritzNo · -$203 · Aug 5, 2026
• National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel CerundoloYes · +$86 · Aug 5, 2026
• National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin CilicYes · +$134 · Aug 5, 2026
• National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka UchijimaYes · +$28 · Aug 5, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes · -$509 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$105 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.