Polymarket wallet 0x46b6…57cf

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x46b6…57cf has made 95 trades on Polymarket across 95 markets, $158 in volume. Most of it is in economics (12%) and geopolitics (11%). On 88 resolved markets the win rate is 59.1%, lifetime P&L -$3. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?Yes · $1 · 69¢ → 87¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?No · $1 · 76¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?Yes · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
• United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Yes · -$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?No · -$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No · -$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.