Geopolitics6 days left
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$540
58 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 35 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?
5 MARKETS · $4.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18←
24¢−24¢$5400/1Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18←−24¢24¢
$5400/1
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
23¢+44¢$5352/1Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18+44¢23¢
$5352/1
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18
23¢−23¢$1050/2Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18−23¢23¢
$1050/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$27+18 new NO$176
$31 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $2·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-2.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-1.8%)
Whales
4
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $31 · WR 88.7%
7
0x7949087c...🥈
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.2%
0
0x01896a6d...🥉
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
1
0x171c55df...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.8%
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