YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$5.5K
270 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 153 traders · 2 on both sides
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
5 MARKETS · $21.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%
19¢+2¢$4.4K4/15United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%+2¢19¢
$4.4K4/15
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%
12¢+13¢$2.3K5/15United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%+13¢12¢
$2.3K5/15
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%
37¢+6¢$5.9K6/8United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%+6¢37¢
$5.9K6/8
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs38 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 24 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+52 new YES$243+61 new NO$665
$180 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales24 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $626 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $254·NO $367YES Team
Total Invested
$671
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$268(-40.0%)
Whales
28
Q
QR1🥇
Entry 67¢·592.2 shares
Invested
$398
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-247
$-247INV $398 · WR 60.3%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 34¢·332.3 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $113 · WR 63.8%
F
FishHunter🥉
Entry 25¢·278.4 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $69 · WR 69.2%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 19¢·150 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $29 · WR 59.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 24¢·100 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $24 · WR 79.6%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 64¢·20 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 61.3%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 14¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 80.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ashhedged
Entry 28¢·6.3 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.8%
F
0xf74fab9f...
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.1%
0
0x0cb0f3c5...
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$964
Avg Win Rate
70.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$197(+20.4%)
Whales
38
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇
Entry 79¢·435.7 shares
Invested
$345
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $345 · WR 55.2%
F
fourcoin15m🥈
Entry 53¢·268.4 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $142 · WR 84.4%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $135 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·260 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $130 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 60¢·120 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $72 · WR 69.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 70¢·53 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 57.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 74¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 72.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 75¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 59.5%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 75¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 59.8%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 75¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 38
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 529ms