karknezes · Polymarket wallet 0x45c2…8358

Wallet snapshot

karknezes has made 23 trades on Polymarket across 14 markets, $194 in volume. Most of it is in sports (43%) and geopolitics (29%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$7. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: May 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $58 · 46¢ → 88¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $8 · 51¢ → 13¢
• Love Wins: 2026 EditionNo · $3 · 33¢ → 80¢
• Love Wins: 2026 EditionYes · $1 · 17¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Love Wins: 2026 EditionNo · -$2 · May 6, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No · -$2 · Apr 9, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No · -$4 · Apr 9, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No · +$1 · Apr 1, 2026
• Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No · +$0 · Mar 13, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$0 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$2 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup?No · +$1 · Jul 22, 2025

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