PoliticsResolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$57.8K
1,595 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 273 traders
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs70 NO
21%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $375 is directional: YES $258·NO $117YES Team
Total Invested
$441
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$271(-61.4%)
Whales
18
Y
Yearly-Skating🥇
Entry 10¢·1,158.1 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-114
$-114INV $116 · WR 55.6%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥈
Entry 9¢·659 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 59.7%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥉
Entry 5¢·1,000.3 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $55 · WR 57.9%
S
Seeking-Alpha01
Entry 11¢·190.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 67.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 3¢·600 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 70.5%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 9¢·29 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 79.1%
K
kaitemo
Entry 0¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 60.8%
E
Etanol
Entry 3¢·32 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.6%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.8%
E
Edje25
Entry 0¢·100 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.1K
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$27.3K(+193.3%)
Whales
70
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 51¢·5,629.9 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2758
+$2758INV $2.9K · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 13¢·13,239.7 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$11509
+$11509INV $1.7K · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 59¢·2,563.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1039
+$1039INV $1.5K · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 52¢·2,417.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1171
+$1171INV $1.2K · WR 79.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 50¢·1,761.2 shares
Invested
$875
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$886
+$886INV $875 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·1,559.3 shares
Invested
$861
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$698
+$698INV $861 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 37¢·2,159.3 shares
Invested
$806
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1354
+$1354INV $806 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·792.6 shares
Invested
$418
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$375
+$375INV $418 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 51¢·680 shares
Invested
$348
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$332
+$332INV $348 · WR 85.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 34¢·908.2 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$602
+$602INV $306 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 70
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