nanocapita · Polymarket wallet 0x45b4…96c5

Wallet snapshot

On 284 resolved markets the win rate is 68%, lifetime P&L -$49. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?".

Largest open positions

• Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?No · $6 · 67¢ → 98¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Yes · $5 · 65¢ → 95¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes · $5 · 90¢ → 96¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · $5 · 85¢ → 93¢
• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?Yes · $5 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $5 · 80¢ → 89¢
• Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?No · $4 · 83¢ → 84¢
• Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Yes · $4 · 83¢ → 83¢
• Notre Dame vs. BYUYes · $4 · 79¢ → 79¢
• Fight to Go the Distance?Yes · $4 · 57¢ → 56¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on day 1?No · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes · -$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsNo · +$3 · Oct 16, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?No · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
• Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.