Polymarket wallet 0x451c…d976

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x451c…d976 has made 165 trades on Polymarket across 84 markets, $269 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (24%) and economics (8%). On 81 resolved markets the win rate is 61.7%, lifetime P&L -$4. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?No · $1 · 40¢ → 50¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 84¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No · $0 · 22¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Yes · +$1 · Oct 26, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Oct 26, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?No · +$0 · Oct 23, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 23, 2026
• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 17?No · +$1 · Oct 22, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?Yes · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026

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