Unfortunate-Price · Polymarket wallet 0x4168…4240

Wallet snapshot

Unfortunate-Price has made 1,440 trades on Polymarket across 678 markets, $2,675 in volume. Most of it is in sports (64%) and politics (12%). On 627 resolved markets the win rate is 56.5%, lifetime P&L -$27. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No · $2 · 80¢ → 88¢
• Will any 2027 Oscar award result in a tie?No · $2 · 81¢ → 88¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No · $2 · 67¢ → 73¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $2 · 83¢ → 88¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?No · $2 · 87¢ → 91¢
• Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No · $2 · 84¢ → 87¢
• Will Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No · $2 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No · $2 · 83¢ → 79¢
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No · $2 · 85¢ → 93¢
• Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No · $2 · 81¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?Yes · -$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?Yes · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.