Polymarket wallet 0x4108…0ced

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4108…0ced has made 211 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $139 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and politics (23%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No · $4 · 68¢ → 83¢
• Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No · $2 · 65¢ → 83¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes · $2 · 12¢ → 7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $2 · 17¢ → 20¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $2 · 52¢ → 60¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $2 · 76¢ → 81¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes · $2 · 37¢ → 39¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $2 · 85¢ → 89¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $2 · 84¢ → 84¢
• Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No · $1 · 83¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · -$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No · +$0 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?No · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026

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