PVMME · Polymarket wallet 0x4013…4d70

Wallet snapshot

PVMME has made 1,870 trades on Polymarket across 169 markets, $115K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and politics (28%). On 130 resolved markets the win rate is 69.2%, lifetime P&L +$775. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: May 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $533 · 63¢ → 83¢
• US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No · $317 · 84¢ → 98¢
• 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $227 · 93¢ → 99¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $224 · 86¢ → 98¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $191 · 82¢ → 96¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $191 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $151 · 74¢ → 97¢
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $140 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $113 · 20¢ → 18¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $97 · 81¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$8 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · -$247 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No · -$98 · Jul 6, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.