Inspiral · Polymarket wallet 0x3e51…7313

+$1,202 lifetime P&L · 79.3% win rate · 29 resolved markets · 0x3e51d0ab5f401282faa7d37b915f614c30337313

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Wallet snapshot

Inspiral has made 204 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (74%) and politics (12%). On 29 resolved markets the win rate is 79.3%, lifetime P&L +$1,202. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Feb 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $105 · 13¢ → 2¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $80 · 28¢ → 22¢

Latest closed positions

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No · +$34 · Feb 22, 2026
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No · +$4 · Feb 19, 2026
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?No · +$100 · Feb 1, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?Yes · -$35 · Feb 1, 2026
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?No · +$25 · Feb 1, 2026
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes · +$406 · Feb 1, 2026
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$739 · Feb 1, 2026
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Yes · -$78 · Jan 30, 2026
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes · -$2 · Jan 30, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.