Defiant-Disruption · Polymarket wallet 0x3cd7…e9af

Wallet snapshot

Defiant-Disruption has made 326 trades on Polymarket across 126 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (28%) and politics (18%). On 115 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%, lifetime P&L +$86. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $13 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $10 · 81¢ → 81¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No · +$4 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$15 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No · +$3 · Jul 6, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes · -$2 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes · +$2 · Jun 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.