Polymarket wallet 0x39e8…d317

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x39e8…d317 has made 215 trades on Polymarket across 117 markets, $358 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (10%). On 105 resolved markets the win rate is 58.1%, lifetime P&L +$9. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · $2 · 60¢ → 98¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?No · $1 · 21¢ → 27¢
• Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $1 · 75¢ → 86¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · $1 · 77¢ → 86¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?Yes · $1 · 28¢ → 28¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 44¢ → 27¢

Latest closed positions

• Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.