Lihong62 · Polymarket wallet 0x3988…7a45

+$6,333 lifetime P&L · 78% win rate · 159 resolved markets · 0x398816c2f74b28c3287598a4992211fa661d7a45

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Wallet snapshot

Lihong62 has made 2,049 trades on Polymarket across 182 markets, $176K in volume. Most of it is in politics (35%) and geopolitics (25%). On 159 resolved markets the win rate is 78%, lifetime P&L +$6,333. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No · $10 · 93¢ → 98¢
AI bubble burst in 2026?No · $9 · 92¢ → 93¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No · $7 · 62¢ → 46¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $7 · 68¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $0 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$0 · Sep 29, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$0 · Sep 25, 2026
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$23 · Sep 21, 2026
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No · +$6 · Sep 21, 2026

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