TheDragon1981 · Polymarket wallet 0x3485…cad4

Wallet snapshot

TheDragon1981 has made 637 trades on Polymarket across 87 markets, $7,323 in volume. Most of it is in sports (39%) and geopolitics (18%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 56.1%, lifetime P&L -$108. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: May 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $2 · 82¢ → 95¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $2 · 56¢ → 11¢
• OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes · $1 · 79¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes · +$16 · Jul 6, 2026
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes · +$10 · Apr 28, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No · +$1 · Apr 19, 2026
• Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?Yes · +$3 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Yes · -$15 · Apr 16, 2026
• North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes · +$4 · Apr 14, 2026
• Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes · +$27 · Apr 13, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes · +$15 · Apr 9, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 4?Yes · -$2 · Apr 5, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?Yes · -$5 · Mar 30, 2026

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