Polymarket wallet 0x3417…b69d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x3417…b69d has made 250 trades on Polymarket across 138 markets, $446 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (10%). On 127 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%, lifetime P&L +$15. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?No · $4 · 22¢ → 42¢
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No · $1 · 70¢ → 82¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 81¢
• Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes · $1 · 61¢ → 59¢
• Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?No · $1 · 27¢ → 23¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 27¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?Yes · +$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 27, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Yes · +$1 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes · -$1 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.