Polymarket wallet 0x2cfc…b445

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x2cfc…b445 has made 103 trades on Polymarket across 69 markets, $121 in volume. Most of it is in sports (67%) and geopolitics (17%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 83.9%, lifetime P&L -$3. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes · $1 · 70¢ → 78¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $1 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No · $1 · 99¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $0 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · $0 · Nov 7, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?No · -$2 · Nov 7, 2026
• Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra SasnovichNo · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Set Handicap: Madhurima Sawant (-1.5) vs Laura Boehner (+1.5)No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco CerundoloNo · -$1 · Nov 3, 2026
• Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Arthur FeryYes · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Polina IatcenkoYes · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.