Immaterial-Benefit · Polymarket wallet 0x242b…f6c7

Wallet snapshot

Immaterial-Benefit has made 411 trades on Polymarket across 39 markets, $6,154 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (82%) and politics (5%). On 31 resolved markets the win rate is 64.5%, lifetime P&L +$226. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $156 · 87¢ → 98¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No · $128 · 83¢ → 82¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?No · $25 · 95¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$14 · Oct 28, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$32 · Oct 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes · $0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$28 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes · -$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$16 · Oct 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · +$13 · Sep 28, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes · -$3 · Sep 22, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes · -$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes · -$2 · Sep 18, 2026

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