mentionsup · Polymarket wallet 0x220c…b4dd

Wallet snapshot

mentionsup has made 341 trades on Polymarket across 140 markets, $24K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (31%) and geopolitics (26%). On 138 resolved markets the win rate is 86.2%, lifetime P&L +$507. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $711 · 50¢ → 91¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?No · $336 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?No · $107 · 93¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $75 · 50¢ → 10¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $57 · 45¢ → 51¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No · +$8 · Oct 1, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No · +$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No · +$6 · Sep 3, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$4 · Sep 1, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.