NaiiveTrader · Polymarket wallet 0x21a2…85ba

Wallet snapshot

NaiiveTrader has made 40 trades on Polymarket across 13 markets, $3,843 in volume. Most of it is in sports (46%) and geopolitics (15%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $482 · 84¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETYes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETYes · +$5 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$63 · Sep 21, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · -$35 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No · +$11 · Apr 30, 2026
• Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?Yes · -$15 · Apr 20, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETNo · +$1 · Apr 20, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETYes · -$1 · Apr 1, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?No · +$4 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?No · +$10 · Apr 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.