realsatoshinakamoto · Polymarket wallet 0x1fef…1a4b

Wallet snapshot

realsatoshinakamoto has made 154 trades on Polymarket across 133 markets, $471 in volume. Most of it is in politics (33%) and crypto (18%). On 125 resolved markets the win rate is 81.6%, lifetime P&L +$23. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?". Last trade: Jun 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes · $8 · 78¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $7 · 76¢ → 91¢
• Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes · $3 · 86¢ → 94¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 55¢ → 47¢
• Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes · $3 · 76¢ → 71¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $3 · 79¢ → 71¢
• Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes · $0 · 79¢ → 10¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · $0 · 75¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$1 · Jul 29, 2026
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Yes · +$1 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?Yes · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?Yes · +$0 · Jun 29, 2026

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