Lavincey · Polymarket wallet 0x1cdd…e595

Wallet snapshot

Lavincey has made 1,847,991 trades on Polymarket across 97,051 markets, $15M in volume. Most of it is in sports (51%). On 92,933 resolved markets the win rate is 35%, lifetime P&L +$62K. It holds 488 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?". Last trade: Oct 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Wu Shu-chin win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Yes · $54 · 29¢ → 34¢
• Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?Yes · $45 · 16¢ → 7¢
• Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No · $36 · 56¢ → 64¢
• Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No · $31 · 80¢ → 96¢
• U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?No · $28 · 89¢ → 96¢
• Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes · $24 · 19¢ → 3¢
• Rippling IPO before 2027?Yes · $22 · 15¢ → 4¢
• Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes · $20 · 25¢ → 44¢
• Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)No · $20 · 43¢ → 41¢
• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $18 · 52¢ → 52¢

Latest closed positions

• BC Dubai vs. Paris BasketballNo · -$8 · Oct 27, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageNo · -$20 · Oct 27, 2026
• Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de ZandschulpYes · +$11 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?Yes · -$10 · Oct 27, 2026
• Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco CerundoloYes · +$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 PlayoffsNo · -$0 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-27?Yes · +$1 · Oct 27, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.