Torn-Picket · Polymarket wallet 0x1ca9…cfaf

Wallet snapshot

Torn-Picket has made 15,925 trades on Polymarket across 78 markets, $356K in volume. Most of it is in sports (26%) and politics (26%). On 66 resolved markets the win rate is 65.2%. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: May 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $655 · 63¢ → 95¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $76 · 44¢ → 76¢
• 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No · $67 · 48¢ → 80¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $51 · 74¢ → 97¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $41 · 77¢ → 99¢
• Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $22 · 76¢ → 100¢
• 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes · $17 · 52¢ → 21¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $14 · 55¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $9 · 39¢ → 6¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · $5 · 30¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$115 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No · +$26 · Jul 1, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes · +$65 · Jun 12, 2026
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No · -$33 · Jun 12, 2026
• Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes · +$147 · May 27, 2026
• Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No · +$31 · May 27, 2026
• Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.