Polymarket wallet 0x1a47…2884

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1a47…2884 has made 1,251 trades on Polymarket across 196 markets, $6,985 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (37%) and crypto (16%). On 188 resolved markets the win rate is 67.6%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Apr 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $77 · 68¢ → 83¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $49 · 88¢ → 98¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $22 · 60¢ → 87¢
• Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No · $13 · 70¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No · +$1 · May 12, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$9 · May 1, 2026
• MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No · -$36 · May 1, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No · +$2 · May 1, 2026
• 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?No · +$4 · May 1, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No · +$5 · May 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No · +$2 · May 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by April 30?No · +$22 · May 1, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes · -$7 · May 1, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No · +$1 · May 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.