Thornwxcsick · Polymarket wallet 0x19bf…d34c

Wallet snapshot

Thornwxcsick has made 63 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $5,933 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and sports (38%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L -$171. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $5 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $2 · 96¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes · -$1 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$10 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · Jun 4, 2026
• Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)No · +$17 · May 11, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?No · +$1 · May 9, 2026
• Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)No · +$13 · May 9, 2026
• Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30No · -$3 · May 8, 2026
• Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Apr 23, 2026

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