Calibrator · Polymarket wallet 0x14bb…882b

Wallet snapshot

Calibrator has made 3,397 trades on Polymarket across 343 markets, $52K in volume. Most of it is in politics (24%) and crypto (10%). On 271 resolved markets the win rate is 78.2%, lifetime P&L +$2,621. It holds 26 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Jun 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $39 · 0¢ → 2¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $26 · 0¢ → 1¢
• Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $14 · 0¢ → 1¢
• Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $12 · 0¢ → 1¢
• Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $11 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $7 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $6 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $6 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $6 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $4 · 0¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?Yes · +$306 · Jun 19, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETNo · -$0 · Jun 16, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETYes · +$12 · Jun 16, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETNo · +$50 · Jun 16, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETNo · +$15 · Jun 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$568 · Jun 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.