noland1 · Polymarket wallet 0x14ad…c876

Wallet snapshot

noland1 has made 3,316 trades on Polymarket across 457 markets, $114K in volume. Most of it is in sports (77%) and geopolitics (13%). On 410 resolved markets the win rate is 44.9%, lifetime P&L -$269. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?No · $3 · 5¢ → 12¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes · $1 · 8¢ → 10¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Yes · $1 · 4¢ → 4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Yes · $1 · 1¢ → 0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes · $1 · 7¢ → 6¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Yes · $1 · 11¢ → 6¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Yes · $1 · 8¢ → 1¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes · $0 · 3¢ → 0¢
• Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 4¢ → 8¢
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 5¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?No · -$2 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · -$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group StageNo · -$1 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.