Splendid-Unit · Polymarket wallet 0x12f8…2ba0

Wallet snapshot

Splendid-Unit has made 276 trades on Polymarket across 121 markets, $798 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (73%) and geopolitics (18%). On 90 resolved markets the win rate is 76.7%, lifetime P&L -$23. It holds 28 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $3 · 55¢ → 88¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No · $3 · 95¢ → 97¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · $2 · 84¢ → 89¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 11?Yes · $2 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $2 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No · $2 · 98¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $1 · 79¢ → 88¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No · $1 · 64¢ → 68¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 79¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $1 · 92¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETNo · -$49 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETNo · +$2 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETNo · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETNo · +$3 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETYes · +$3 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETNo · -$9 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETYes · +$2 · Nov 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.