mrstupid · Polymarket wallet 0x0af5…2470

Wallet snapshot

mrstupid has made 2,025 trades on Polymarket across 149 markets, $367K in volume. Most of it is in sports (44%) and crypto (17%). On 141 resolved markets the win rate is 67.4%, lifetime P&L -$7,208. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Aug 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $5,430 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · $2,943 · 71¢ → 89¢
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · $2,917 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · $1,976 · 98¢ → 98¢
• SBF released from custody in 2026?No · $1,974 · 92¢ → 99¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes · $1,015 · 40¢ → 77¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $570 · 16¢ → 10¢
• Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes · $201 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No · $189 · 33¢ → 11¢
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No · $148 · 32¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes · -$163 · Aug 9, 2026
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes · -$1,058 · Aug 9, 2026
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes · -$60 · Aug 9, 2026
• Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes · -$138 · Aug 9, 2026
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · -$306 · Aug 9, 2026
• Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No · -$675 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.