poinsettia · Polymarket wallet 0x0ae1…52b9

Wallet snapshot

poinsettia has made 1,079 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $422K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (64%) and politics (20%). On 23 resolved markets the win rate is 87%, lifetime P&L -$6,802. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?". Last trade: Feb 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $260 · 69¢ → 76¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes · $82 · 32¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No · +$322 · Mar 4, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No · +$119 · Mar 4, 2026
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$153 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No · +$25 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · +$1,256 · Feb 28, 2026
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No · -$2,751 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes · -$7,626 · Feb 28, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No · +$8 · Feb 28, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETYes · -$3,969 · Feb 27, 2026
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · -$1 · Feb 26, 2026

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