Polymarket wallet 0x0a3c…0511

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x0a3c…0511 has made 539 trades on Polymarket across 58 markets, $110K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and politics (36%). On 48 resolved markets the win rate is 79.2%, lifetime P&L +$725. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes · $518 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $162 · 3¢ → 3¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes · $103 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $47 · 64¢ → 23¢
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $12 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes · $2 · 35¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$1,384 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes · +$224 · Oct 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$10 · Oct 1, 2026
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$280 · Sep 21, 2026
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No · +$32 · Sep 1, 2026

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