PoliticsResolved
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$1.41M
9,595 trades
Smart Whales
247
of 1,024 traders · 7 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
107 YESvs147 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 39 YES vs 38 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$26 of $57.1K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $101 is hedged across different prices by 6 wallets. True directional: YES $47.2K·NO $9.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$213.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$118.3K(+55.4%)
Whales
107
J
josearval🥇
Entry 100¢·30,000 shares
Invested
$30.0K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30.0K · WR 77.8%
A
aenews2◆Proven🥈
Entry 52¢·44,301 shares
Invested
$22.8K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$21452
+$21452INV $22.8K · WR 74.6%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk🥉
Entry 50¢·39,051.9 shares
Invested
$19.5K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$19526
+$19526INV $19.5K · WR 90.5%
T
Twin-Cupola
Entry 73¢·19,151.1 shares
Invested
$13.9K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$5223
+$5223INV $13.9K · WR 74.1%
Z
zb8hedged
Entry 88¢·15,286.1 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$13.4K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$1888
+$1888INV $13.4K · WR 59.4%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 76¢·12,608.7 shares
Invested
$9.6K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$3048
+$3048INV $9.6K · WR 70.0%
B
Brokie
Entry 60¢·14,426 shares
Invested
$8.6K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$5778
+$5778INV $8.6K · WR 59.4%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven
Entry 50¢·16,000 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$8000
+$8000INV $8.0K · WR 90.0%
R
Rowdy-Evening-Universe
Entry 52¢·11,869.7 shares
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$5703
+$5703INV $6.2K · WR 63.1%
S
StraddleSeller
Entry 91¢·6,744.9 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$638
+$638INV $6.1K · WR 66.2%
Showing top 10 of 107
NO Team
Total Invested
$97.1K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$27.9K(-28.7%)
Whales
147
1
11122🥇
Entry 8¢·92,565.6 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-6965
$-6965INV $7.0K · WR 60.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 47¢·12,238.9 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-5804
$-5804INV $5.8K · WR 85.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 49¢·10,514.8 shares·also $3.6K on YES
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-5185
$-5185INV $5.2K · WR 55.3%
S
scottilicious
Entry 85¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-4250
$-4250INV $4.2K · WR 85.4%
P
pop
Entry 65¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-3250
$-3250INV $3.3K · WR 58.1%
T
TruongMyLan
Entry 46¢·1,055.5 shares
Invested
$490
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-490
$-490INV $490 · WR 59.2%
P
polpolmeow
Entry 92¢·436 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-403
$-403INV $403 · WR 88.0%
U
UnluckiestLuckbox
Entry 72¢·500 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
$-357
$-357INV $358 · WR 74.5%
T
TheArtOfTACO
Entry 97¢·250 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-242
$-242INV $242 · WR 81.4%
A
absol
Entry 94¢·213.7 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $200 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 147
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