Frail-Period · Polymarket wallet 0x08c2…b24e

Wallet snapshot

Frail-Period has made 107 trades on Polymarket across 63 markets, $9,501 in volume. Most of it is in sports (46%) and geopolitics (12%). On 49 resolved markets the win rate is 73.5%, lifetime P&L -$281. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $10 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $10 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $5 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $2 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No · $2 · 59¢ → 94¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $1 · 66¢ → 93¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $1 · 92¢ → 89¢
• Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $1 · 0¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETNo · +$0 · Sep 14, 2026
• Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes · +$0 · Aug 18, 2026
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$0 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETYes · +$0 · Jun 19, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

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