Paflas · Polymarket wallet 0x08ae…c4bf

Wallet snapshot

Paflas has made 644 trades on Polymarket across 208 markets, $8,663 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (34%) and economics (17%). On 205 resolved markets the win rate is 89.3%, lifetime P&L +$55. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?No · $7 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No · $6 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $2 · 14¢ → 13¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes · +$3 · Oct 4, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No · +$3 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?No · +$0 · Sep 27, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No · +$0 · Sep 18, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 11, 2026
• LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No · +$2 · Sep 10, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 7, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No · +$9 · Sep 1, 2026

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