Shadalion · Polymarket wallet 0x07ee…36c5

Wallet snapshot

Shadalion has made 255 trades on Polymarket across 55 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in politics (77%) and geopolitics (17%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 90.9%, lifetime P&L +$215. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $185 · 73¢ → 92¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes · $178 · 70¢ → 71¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes · $50 · 65¢ → 100¢
• Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?Yes · $37 · 75¢ → 75¢
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?No · $14 · 77¢ → 7¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes · $11 · 59¢ → 24¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes · $2 · 20¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?No · +$53 · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$85 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes · +$16 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$56 · Nov 4, 2026
• Blue wave in 2026?Yes · +$17 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$28 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.