appley · Polymarket wallet 0x05e0…1fd7

Wallet snapshot

appley has made 101 trades on Polymarket across 51 markets, $43K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (28%) and geopolitics (26%). On 39 resolved markets the win rate is 89.7%. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 89¢ → 93¢
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $4 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Modi out by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 93¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?Yes · +$0 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 17?No · +$0 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 15, 2026
• Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · -$0 · Sep 4, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No · -$4 · Aug 13, 2026
• US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?No · -$4 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · -$0 · Jul 24, 2026
• Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Macron out by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.