Polymarket wallet 0x04e2…e6b1

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x04e2…e6b1 has made 44 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $326 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (38%) and economics (28%). On 27 resolved markets the win rate is 70.4%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jun 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $20 · 88¢ → 98¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $6 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $6 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $5 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $4 · 70¢ → 84¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?Yes · -$5 · Jun 4, 2026
• Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No · +$1 · Apr 3, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Apr 3, 2026
• Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?No · +$2 · Mar 1, 2026
• US government shutdown Saturday?Yes · +$1 · Feb 12, 2026
• Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No · +$1 · Feb 1, 2026
• US bank failure by March 31?Yes · +$2 · Feb 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Feb 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?No · -$10 · Feb 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.